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The simulation results for the remainder of the year (not shown) estimate an over 22.5% chance the market will again become significantly overvalued at some point in time during the year, thus resulting in a dampening of expected future returns. This topic will be discussed in more explicit detail in a forthcoming April article.Second cheap iphone cases, the simulation results suggest a 70.3% probability that the S 500 will increase in March with the median change equaling +1.23%. That estimated probability of the index increasing in March is significantly higher than the historical rate of occurrence (60%).
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